Market Report - Mid Year 2004
| Review In our last report we predicted prices on quality properties to begin to rise and to expect a strong Winter Season.. |
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| Outlook This has been one of the strongest Winter Seasons in many years and at the mid year point it shows little signs of letting up. Generally sales activity takes a little breather as summer approaches but not this year. The statistics support that impression with # of properties sold year to date up 50% and the value of those sales up 100% over last year! Conversely the supply is 13% lower than it was this time last year which is the second consecutive reduction of supply. The confluence of these types of statistics usually results in price increases. Residential With regard specifically to condos the addition of new preconstruction projects has kept supply levels from decreasing overall but the supply of existing units on good beach is miniscule. Condos on the North end of 7 Mile are in great demand and very short supply. If you have been thinking of selling or tried unsuccessfully a few years ago, now would be an excellent time to get your property on the market. The best time to sell is always when someone wants to buy. Figures since our last report show a 10% increase in condo sales with an accompanying rise of 14% in average sales price. This trend should continue – especially for existing units on good beach. On 7 Mile Beach condo presales have been brisk. Pre construction projects: the Meridian is sold out, Coldwell Banker has the only beachfront unit at the Caribbean Club left, and Waters Edge is already half sold. We understand there are only 20 units out of 91 left unsold at the Ritz at present. With the completion of the Ritz right at the start of our peak tourist season we expect a surge in value for the remaining units in that property. Historically that is always the case with preconstruction projects. A Ritz insider who knows the development well predicts the increase will be around 20%. The periodic increases in developers prices over the years have allowed early preconstruction purchasers to now resell below equivalent developers unit prices. This provides a tremendous opportunity for a savvy purchaser to lock in a profit by buying a resale in this unique project – right now. Call us for details. You can expect several new projects along the northern end of 7 Mile Beach to be announced before the Winter Season with units ranging in price from $1.5M to $2.5M. Please contact us if you have an interest in locations North of the Public Beach. The resale market for existing condos is strong but sales are not quite at the level of the new preconstruction units. Units at the Great House and other older top level properties are falling just short of the $1,000/sq. ft. level which has long been the goal of Developers here. Bear in mind some of these units are now 15 years old. However, with the new 7 storey buildings making low density on sites a thing of the past look for these older but more exclusive properties to become more & more desirable in our market place. The Condominium Market saw 63% more units sold over last year also with a statistical price decrease as above. However, these condo numbers do not account for any of the Ritz presales or the 12 presales at Water’s Edge, or some of the 33 presales at the Meridian, because none of them have closed. Were those to be factored in, not only would the number of sales be way up, but so would the average price - especially for the top end units. We have clients standing in line to purchase at some complex’s (Avalon, Commonwealth, Mandalay, Sovereign, Great House). We have an offer on a Ritz-Carlton resale unit at a nice profit for one of the original buyers and we have 2 more resales, one being the only PIP unit (guaranteed rental income with no fees) available. Contact us for details. The only Penthouse available at the Meridian is also listed with Coldwell Banker Cayman Islands Realty. It is 3,331 sq. ft. and selling at a reasonable $2,895,000. We also have the only oceanfront unit for sale at the new Caribbean Club project. It is a 3,000 sq. ft. 3 bedroom with an awesome 55 ft. of seafrontage (double that of Pinnacle units; only Great House can compare). As a top floor unit in a 3 storey structure with no party walls it will have 180 degree views and will be unique on Seven Mile Beach. Contact us for details on this project. Commercial Hotels Development Land Sister Islands Raw Land South Sound is on fire lately with no less than 4 lakeside developments now under construction. With pricing for oceanfront reaching $9000/per linear oceanfront foot, in this area, lake developments common in Florida, are now happening here in Cayman. Relatively affordable, you can buy a lakeside lot for as little as CI$125,000, and live only minutes from town, schools, & churches. Call us for details. Cayman Kai values are increasing as we predicted with Coldwell Banker Cayman Islands Realty selling two beachfront lots for $1.150 – $1.2M and a beautiful 5 bed, 4.5 bath beach front home of 5,300 sq. ft. on the tip of Finger Quay for US$2,850,000. We believe those sales of both land and residence are the highest sales ever recorded in Cayman Kai. East End is finally being discovered and good beachfront there is commanding $5,000/ft. We have a number of interested buyers if you own there and are a seller. We are handling the marketing for a new development called East End Paradise Villas. It will accommodate 3 beachfront duplexes and 17 two storey single family inland homes around a five-tier cascading pool. One duplex is completed (with one side sold) and can be viewed. The finishes and furnishings are terrific. The 3 bed, 3.5 bath “Village Homes” are pre-selling now starting at only US$379,000. Call Coldwell Banker for full details. For many years the older canal communities along the south shore were always good for a supply of inexpensive canalfront lots. But the days of $40,000 lots are now gone. The most recent sales in North Sound Estates for example are now in the mid $70,000’s albeit for better than average lots. Other canal communities like The Shores, Crystal Harbour, Cayman Islands Yacht Club and Sunrise Landing are very popular with residents and offshore investors alike. We have made sales in all these communities lately and at attractive levels. Coldwell Banker Cayman Islands Realty has just listed an estate site available in Mangrove Point. Facing West and fronting the North Sound, this exclusive enclave is a real sleeper. With sites of over 1.25 acre each and a private boat marina for each lot as well as a gated entrance, look for this subdivision to be very exclusive. Tourism Infastructure The Ritz is heading towards completion (with the opening still planned before Christmas) so is Meridian, so those West Bay Road traffic obstacles have an end in sight; just in time for the construction of the Waters Edge and Caribbean Club to begin! There is a lot of dirt being moved around behind the Galleria for the traffic circle which will encompass the new entrance to the Hyatt. We know neither the Hyatt nor the Ritz are in favour of the By-Pass and wonder how much of their influence is responsible for the slow pace of the By-Pass extension. These properties are the biggest factors influencing the timetable for completion of the By-Pass to Indies Suites, and it appears their foot-dragging will be responsible for us facing another peak season of traffic congestion further exacerbated by the continuing expansion of our market. The design of the By-Pass from Safehaven to Indies Suites is close to being finalized. It is a sensible plan which allows for a service road and landscaped buffer between the Governor’s Harbour residential neighborhoods and the By-Pass while using roundabouts for access points. It is refreshing to find that PWD is now using a more practical approach to road design whereas previously it was largely theoretical. Banking Kudos Special Forecast |
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